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Sunday, September 27, 2009

Find Out How You Can Pick Hot Penny Stocks To Make Money

By Grant Dougan

When people see the term "Penny stocks" this is refering to stocks of businesses that are valued at extremely small prices. Many people are drawn to these investments as they can call for a small initial investment, but you must note that there sometimes there is a high risk of the share value decreasing to nothing. Although there are certainly risks taken in these kinds of stocks, there's also a sizeable potential for tremendous gains.

When trying to choose a penny share to put money in in you are going to need to know a few things about the business. Just like investing in other stocks, you want to understand the type of business they are involved with and what company plans they have for the upcoming years.

One of the things that makes penny stocks so attractive is the fact that most of the companies issuing them are rather uncomplex. A typical kind of penny share is a mining company that benefits when the cost of the resource it extracts increases above a specific level. There are also oil exploration stocks that are valued in the same way.

As you likely have already guessed, penny stocks are considered to be investments with high risk. Naturally there's always the risk that the business won't survive even with proper research.

Reporting guidelines on penny shares are a lot less demanding than they are for shares found on the national stock exchanges. One sort of penny stock is referred to as the Pink Sheets, there's virtually no regulatory standards on penny shares, no minimum accounting guidelines or reporting guidelines.

Because there's very little or even no regulation, this renders this sort of stock vulnerable to fraud and market manipulation. Fraudsters will use their influence to jump]work up penny share prices, then they'll unload and delist the share. This is the classic con referred to as "pump and dump".

However, we don't want to scare you off! Penny stocks have their risks but also hold a large potential for a large gain. You can find scores of real, sound small businesses, and they have to get going somewhere. Tons of organizations that are looked to as penny stocks are destined to be a great success in the oncoming future. Individuals who can pick a valuable penny stock will get a big reward.

If you can pick out organizations that have promising futures, your profits will be huge. Even if you post a loss on most of your penny share picks, the one winner will be such a large gain that you'll forget all about the stocks that fell in value. - 23221

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Look for Going Generic to Save More Money

By Robert Jackson

One of the simple ways to keep more money in your pocket is to run through your list of expenses and think of alternatives. If you get creative, you will find that not many things are really irreplaceable.

Many people pay for gym memberships but are they really necessary? Some dumb bells, a morning jog is really all we need most of the time right? This way, you aren't paying for zilch and you will still be fit.

Are you at home watching TV all day? Those cable subscriptions are really expensive but most people can just use a service like Netflix or even Redbox. You will end up saving more money and watching more programs that you actually enjoy.

Do you still have your land line? Could you just use your cell phone to communicate? Unless you have heavy fax usage, you probably can get by using those wireless devices.

Restaurants usually give you so much sauce that you can just add more meat to the dish and have it still taste the same. This works especially well for Chinese food, so even if you don't know how to cook, you can eat at home for less now.

Chances are good that you are overpaying for your cell phone plans. For almost all of us, going with a prepaid plan will almost certainly save us money. It sounds crazy, I know, but it really works if you do the numbers.

Many people redeem points for merchandise but redeeming for cash or travel certificates are usually the best deal. Think about all the options that they give you and run the numbers!

If you like magazines, it's probably easier if you just bite the bullet and pay for a year's worth. This one is a little backwards but when it cost $5 at the stand and $10 for a year's worth, getting the year is probably worth the cost assuming you actually like the content.

Most of the stuff that you own is probably better rented. Not only is the upfront cost lower, you probably realize that you don't need the product a few weeks after you take it home anyway. If it's rented, you can easily return it without paying full price.

Generic brands are often skipped because they are deemed to have lower quality. Chances are, it's not true at all. Sometimes, the generic brands are exactly the same, and other times, it's even better than the name brands. The only difference? Marketing. - 23221

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What Impacts the Price of a Stock? How Useful is Historical Data?

By Marv Doniger

There are a myriad of factors that are commonly used by investors to evaluate potential stock investments. These investment opportunities are often identified through the use of the numerous stock screeners that are readily available to investors. Common searches seek to identify companies that have a low Price Earnings, Price to Book Value, or Price to Cash Flow Ratio; high Dividend Yields; high Returns on Assets, Invested Capital, or Earnings; low Debt to Equity; and high Cash balances. In fact there are pre-defined stock screeners such as the Contrarian Strategy, Dogs of the Dow, Momentum Stocks, New 52-Week Highs, etc. that can be used to identify stocks in which to invest. The implicit assumption in using stock screeners is that there is a relationship between this data and the future performance of a stock. Should this assumption be valid then all one would have to do is run his/her magic screener and buy those stocks with his/her favorite criteria such as low Price Earnings Ratio and high Dividend Yield. In order to validate the premise that the data obtained from stock screeners influences the price of a company's stock, the change in the price of the Dow 30 Industrial stocks from 1999 to 2009 was compared to changes in the Returns they generated, their Financial Condition and Performance over that same time period. Returns included Returns on Equity, Invested Capital and Assets as well as Dividends paid to investors. Financial Condition included Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, along with Interest Coverage and Dividend Coverage. Performance included Sales, Earnings, Book Value and Cash Flow trends. A correlation analysis was conducted to determine the relationship of the price of each of the companies comprising the Dow Industrials and these factors. The hypothesis being that there was a statistically valid relationship between these factors.

As the following chart shows, dividends had a statistically significant impact on the change in the price of the stock of Exxon Mobil, Hewlett-Packard, Merck, and Verizon. It had a moderate impact on the price of the stock of Alcoa, Bank of America, DuPont, General Electric and JP Morgan Chase. Earnings had a strong impact on the price of Citigroup's and Exxon Mobil's stock. The stock price of Caterpillar, Chevron, Johnson & Johnson, McDonalds, Proctor & Gamble, and United Technologies was moderately impacted by earnings. Price changes in the stock of Exxon Mobil were statistically significantly impacted by its Dividends, Cash, Earnings, Book Value and Cash Flow and moderately impacted by its Return on Invested Capital, Dividend Coverage and Sales. Another company whose price movement could be partially explained by change in these factors is Caterpillar. There were moderately statistically significant relationships between its price and its Returns on Equity, Investment and Assets; its Interest and Dividend Coverage; as well as its Earnings and Cash Flow. Perhaps one of the most astonishing results is that there were no statistically meaningful relationships between the changes in the price of the stocks of 3M, American Express, AT&T, Boeing, Intel, IBM, Kraft, Microsoft, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, Home Depot, and Wal-Mart and the measures of Returns, Financial Condition, and Performance used in the analysis. To put it another way, the price movement of 40 percent of the Dow Industrials bore no statistically meaningful relationship to changes in these factors.

FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK PRICE of DOW 30 INDUSTRIALS RETURNS FINANCIAL CONDITION PERFORMANCE Dow 30 Components Company Equity Invested Capital Assets Dividends Current Ratio Debt to Equity Interest Coverage Dividend Coverage Cash Sales Earnings Book Value Cash Flow 3m Co Alcoa Inc ● American Express Company, AT&T Inc. Bank of America Corporation ● Boeing Co., Caterpillar Inc. ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Chevron Corp ●● ● ● ●● ● Citigroup, Inc. ●● ● E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Co ● Exxon Mobil Corp ● ●● ● ●● ● ●● ●● ●● General Electric Company ● General Motors Corporation ● Hewlett-Packard Co. ●● ● Intel Corporation International Business Machines Johnson & Johnson ● ● ● JP Morgan & Chase & Co ● Kraft Foods Inc. McDonald's Corporation ● ● Merck & Co., Inc. ●● Microsoft Corporation, Pfizer Inc, The Coca-Cola Company, The Home Depot, Inc. The Procter & Gamble Company ● ● ● ●● United Technologies Corporation ● ● ● Verizon Communications ●● Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Impact ● Moderate ●● Significant Data Standard & Poor's

Based on the previous examination of the relationships between the price of the Dow Industrials stocks and certain measurements of their historical data, it should be apparent that stock screeners, in and of themselves, are not sufficient tools to use in selecting potential stock investments. Even if there were statistically significant relationships between the historical price movement and the data used in the stock screener, it does not mean that those relationships would continue in the future. Wall Street constantly warns that past performance is not indicative of future results, yet investors search the past to divine the future. It is like driving in traffic by looking through the rear view mirror and missing the collision ahead that is about to happen. As events of the past eighteen months have proven, highly improbable events can occur and inflict unforeseen casualties on investors. Since equity markets are supposedly discounting future events, investors should look through the windshield to see what is ahead of them and use the rear view mirror to see if the vehicle behind them has any relevance to their ultimate destination.

Marvin Doniger, Managing Partner of Doniger & Associates, is the author of A Common Sense Road Map to Uncommon Wealth, which is a treatise on managing careers and finances. His perspectives have been developed from his lifelong study of investing, his actual experiences as a registered representative, an individual investor, as well as from working for large companies in industry and as a management consultant to Fortune 500 companies. He is a leader in his industry. - 23221

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Five Basic Tips On How A Penny Stock Listing Make You Rich

By Malcolm Torren

There are stock market sites and blogs that tell you how you can earn from just a small cap investment. Of course, anyone who wants to get rich would understandably jump at the opportunity. But getting rich is not a quick scheme and no get-rich-quick books will tell you that it happens overnight. It does not happen overnight. Even if you think you have the most reliable penny stock listing in the world, it still does not guarantee financial wealth.

It is not about luck. Or else, luck simply has only a little to do with it. It's all hard work. There are even people who life a low profile lifestyle but have fat bank accounts. Then there those who claim that they got rich because they have a dependable penny stock listing and they want you to try it.

Study this carefully and don't get easily swayed by the hype. Today there are so many opportunists who would do anything to get a piece of your savings. The penny stock market is one of the attractive avenues for them. If you want to get rich from your penny shares, follow these tips:

- Avoid overspending. Always keep in mind that the general rule of thumb is always to buy shares at low price. When the value appreciates and when the time is right, sell it. But do not use up too much of your savings. Just allocate portion of it. A safe margin would ten percent. And spend only for the list that you personally picked and not from those who suggested it to you.

- Learn the terms, the language, the slang, and the major concepts. Any penny stock listing is useless if you don't know how to translate them. And to do that, you have to understand the back and front ends. Along that path you will be encountering so many stock market terms that may be alien to you. Terms like the PE ratio, ticker signs, liquidity, etc. Understand them and learn them by heart.

- Be reasonable about committing your investment money. Your stock list is supposed to showcase the hot stocks to bid. However, the list can change overnight. What is hot today may not be hot tomorrow and that happens all the time. Always double check on which penny stock you think is most likely to expect profit for you.

- Learn about the trade continually. Your penny stock listing cannot exist alone. It needs partners. Because in this business, the survivors are not the rich, the smart, and the strong. The successful investors are those who keep track of constant changes. These are the stock market trends.

In reality, what makes you rich is not because you have a penny stock listing that guarantees success. What success means is dependent on how much work you are willing to put in your business. The ingredients to success are knowledge, rational analysis, and a roster of facts. If you want to be rich is really all up to you. - 23221

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Technical Analysis 101

By Mike Swanson

Understanding what is going to happen in the future is something that everyone would like to have. But we have all seen that there is really no such thing as a crystal ball in stock trading. There is however something that we can try to work towards and that is the use of technical analysis which could help get a view on the future by using the lessons that have been learned in the past.

Technical analysis is when analysts take market trends from yesterday, last year or a few years back and look at the way in which the prices of certain items (be they goods or shares) were managed and the volume in which they were bought or sold. Using this information, they are then able to forecast what the market trend of that particular item or product will be in the future.

In order to find this information, analysts use a variety of models, indexes, charts (such as the open high low chart, candle stick chart or line chart) and trading rules. By measuring the information, they are able to make their estimations and forecasts. An example of an index is the momentum oscillator which measures velocity and magnitude of directional price movements and it does this by measuring and comparing the upwards and downwards movements of specific stocks or products.

Technical analysis is a discipline all on its own and it was first demonstrated by one Welles Wilder. His work has laid down the foundation for many professions that are now in existence and those involved with the various stock markets around the world are no doubt particularly grateful for the work that he has done. They use his discipline as an every day tool in their work environment.

There are some who feel that the use of technical analysis by stock traders is perhaps not in keeping with the purist form of trading. They would usually advocate the use of alternative methods such as the position and price of company stocks, they would then base their future market estimations on these data points. These analysts are normally said to belong to the fundamental discipline. There is no clear decision as to whether fundamental or technical is better and big companies hedge themselves by ensuring that they have both types employed.

While technical analysis is not going to offer you a crystal ball into the future, it is certainly a good tool to make sure that you are as prepared as possible for the type of opportunities that could come your way. Make sure that you understand the historical movements of trends so that you can use these to your advantage in future markets. - 23221

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